CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY8

太平洋证券目标价1240元

在8月14日太平洋证券发布的研报显示：“在不考虑普飞继续提价的前提下，预测2020年公司的收入增速为13%、净利润增速为16%。如果明年普飞提价，将继续上调明年的增速。考虑龙头溢价和业绩持续增长，根据2020年EPS给30倍PE，目标价1240元，对应2019年的动态PE为34.9倍，维持‘买入’评级。”

理由是：贵州茅台“千亿目标”、股份公司完成14%收入增长的最优场景是保持“量平价升”，集团销售方案好于预期，有望确保“价升”的实现；而公司在中秋、国庆销售旺季到来前迅速出台集团销售方案，有助于茅台酒全年计划量的如数投放，期待全年销量同比持平的实现。

同时，太平洋证券认为，即便有所增量，但供不应求的大格局仍难以打破，预计一批价和终端市场价将有所回落，但跌幅较深的概率不大。等茅台酒真实放量、渠道更加精细管控、需求从囤货投资转向真实消费的时候，茅台酒的价格才会长期维持在一个较为合理的水平。短期内因为供需不匹配而震荡向上仍是大概率。

4CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84CACR-HR01BABY84




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